The Run, Pass, Option. Week 13 Picks

The Run, Pass, Option. is your weekly NFL betting guide. Take these bets and everything your bookie has. (1-3-1 on the season)

Run with these teams

New Orleans -7 over the Dallas Cowboys

Everything the Cowboys do, the Saints do better. Ezekiel Elliot is the engine that drags the rest of the Cowboys to wins. Other than that Thanksgiving win with Amari Cooper having a game for the ages, the passing game has not been the Cowboys strength. The New Orleans rush defense is the best in the NFL, and good enough to shut down a battered Cowboys offensive line. Forcing Dak to throw the ball to keep up with the Saints great offense does not bode well for the Boys. Saints -7, expect them to win by two touchdowns.

andrew luck

Indianapolis -4 over the Jacksonville Jaguars

It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the Jaguars have not been playing up to expectations this year, especially since winning the week 2 Super Bowl over the Patriots. It also doesn’t take a genius to figure out the Colts are one of the hottest teams in football. The Colts offensive line play has been superb, and they are allowing Andrew Luck to play almost uninhibited. The Colts pass protection is better than the Jaguars pass rush, expect the Colts to win handily Colts -4.

Pass on these teams

Green Bay -14 over the Arizona Cardinals

These are not the Packers of 7 years ago. There have been key injuries to the Packers offensive line, secondary, and receiving core. This is not a good sign to beat the Cardinals by 14 points. With Patrick Peterson locking up Davante Adams all night, and a hobbled Jimmy Graham the Packers rushing game will have to play better than they have all year. Chandler Jones rushing against either an injured David Bakhtiari or whoever is filling in means Aaron Rodgers won’t have any time to throw the ball. I think the Packers will win, but the Cardinals will cover, Cardinals +14.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 over the LA Chargers

The Chargers are shaping up to be one of the toughest teams to beat in the AFC, the return of Joey Bosa coupled with the improved play of Phillip Rivers and the emergence of Mike Williams as a legitimate threat make them a formidable opponent. The Steelers just lost to the Denver Broncos even with Big Ben playing a decent game(save for a game losing goal-line interception) and it seems their offense has been figured out. Take away the big plays from Antonio Brown and limit James Conner’s production out of the backfield, and the rest of the Steelers offense isn’t capable enough to go out and beat a good team. Expect the Chargers to take out the reeling Steelers at home. Chargers +3.5

The Last Option

Under 48 for Baltimore at Atlanta

Lamar Jackson, while effective enough to move the football, is prone to throwing interceptions and leaving points on the field. The Falcons have only been converting on 50% of their red zone chances in their last 3 games. Expect a lot of field goals and fans angry that their team can’t convert in the red zone.  Under 48 for Bal@Atl

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